THE IMPACT OF BUDGETARY POLICY OF THE REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN ON MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
Abstract
This thesis provides an in-depth analysis of the influence of budgetary policy in the Republic of Uzbekistan on macroeconomic stability in the period since its independence. Through an examination of fiscal frameworks, government revenues and expenditures, and the effectiveness of fiscal reforms, the research illustrates how budgetary decisions impact inflation, growth, public debt, and balance of payments. Combining theoretical perspectives, empirical data, and critical review of fiscal policy developments, the thesis underscores the strengths and weaknesses of Uzbekistan’s approach, the challenges posed by external shocks, and the prospects for sustainable stability. The article incorporates recent trends and global comparisons, drawing upon official documents, international financial institutions’ analyses, and academic literature, to provide thorough recommendations for further policy improvement.
References
1. Asian Development Bank (ADB) (2021). Uzbekistan: Fiscal Management and Economic Prospects. Manila: Asian Development Bank.
2. Berg, A., & Sachs, J. (1988). The Debt Crisis: Structural Explanations of Country Performance. Journal of Development Economics, 29(3), 271-301.
3. Blanchard, O., & Johnson, D.R. (2012). Macroeconomics. 6th Edition. Boston: Pearson.
4. Dabrowski, M. (2013). Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Post-Communist Countries: The Case of Central Asia. CASE Network Studies & Analyses, No. 457.
5. International Monetary Fund (IMF) (2022). Uzbekistan: 2021 Article IV Consultation—Staff Report. Washington, D.C.: IMF.
6. Pomfret, R. (2019). The Central Asian Economies in the Twenty-First Century. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
7. Spechler, M. (2008). The Political Economy of Reform in Central Asia: Uzbekistan under Authoritarianism. Routledge.
8. World Bank (2018). Republic of Uzbekistan: Public Expenditure Review. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group.
9. World Bank (2020). Uzbekistan Public Finance Review Update. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group.
10. World Bank (2021). Macro-Fiscal Monitoring: Uzbekistan. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group.
11. World Bank (2022). Uzbekistan Economic Update. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group.